"Bookies called it right - PaddyPower paid out last Sunday/Betfair had it 1/4 on on Monday, which backs the view that Betfair is as valid source of likely election results as opinion polls. wisdom of crowds etc." Some pollsters had a pretty good night, it was the political "experts" and journalists who couldn't call it. Their opinions turned out to be no more use than a toss of a coin. http://mashable.com/2012/11/07/nate-silver-wins/ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ http://election.princeton.edu/