
Dogkennelhillbilly
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About Dogkennelhillbilly
- Currently Viewing Topic: Tree Dulwich Park
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They can't have been very close friends if closing off one end of the street was enough to put you off seeing them...
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The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
A single street is never, ever going to have enough data of any sort to draw sensible conclusions about crime trends. It is a totally futile exercise to try to do so, in any direction. And it is not true that "crime stats [rely] on people actually reporting crime". This is basic stuff for anyone with a passing knowledge of criminology. -
The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
Not correct. There are two principal sources of crime data in E&W: crime recorded by police and the Crime Survey for England & Wales, which does not rely solely on reported crime. Please see the note above from the ONS on the limited utility of recorded crime data, especially in shallow pools. -
The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
Anyone that has the slightest familiarity with statistics or criminology knows that trying to make out crime trends from 1 or 2 years of data in relation to a single street and then trying to pin it on a single cause is completely futile. The data pool is too shallow and the phenomena too multicausal. That's true whether it shows that any type of crime has gone up, gone down or stayed the same. Drug offences have gone down 80% in Dulwich Village SNT area since 2021: you'd be a complete idiot to suggest that "LTNs prevent drug crime" on the basis of this data. But I suspect that's not the point of our frieds who passionately believe that "LTNs cause crime". Their intention is to throw enough shi- - I mean, spaghetti - at the wall and hope enough sprays around that casual observers can't be bothered to wade through the mess. It's classic FUD tactics, it's a load of old toot, and it's failing miserably - in the real world, away from the fevered posts of a few on the East Dulwich Forum, there is little interest in a junction that closed five years ago. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fear,_uncertainty,_and_doubt : "Fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) is a manipulative propaganda tactic used in technology sales, marketing, public relations, politics, polling, and cults. FUD is generally a strategy to influence perception by disseminating negative and dubious or false information and is a manifestation of the appeal to fear...In public policy, a similar concept has been referred to as manufactured uncertainty, which involves casting doubt on academic findings, exaggerating their claimed imperfections. Manufacturing controversy has been a tactic used by ideological and corporate groups to "neutralize the influence of academic scientists" in public policy debates. Cherry picking of favorable data and sympathetic experts, aggrandizement of uncertainties within theoretical models, and false balance in media reporting contribute to the generation of FUD. Alan D. Attie describes its process as "to amplify uncertainties, cherry-pick experts, attack individual scientists, marginalize the traditional role of distinguished scientific bodies and get the media to report "both sides" of a manufactured controversy."[13] -
New Organic shop in the Village
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to rMattos's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
There's prices on everything. -
Just for the sake of accuracy: it is not correct that The Dulwich Estate knew nothing about the closure. Neither is it correct that a new tenant cannot move in for a while - the Dulwich Estate notice is saying the stuff that was left in there will be binned or stored for 3 months, not that they're going to be stored on site for 3 months. Now the landlord is back in possession, they can rent it out as soon as they find a tenant.
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No offence, but why not start from the assumption that the trees team in Southwark Council know what they're doing because it's their job and aren't a bunch of ecogenocidal maniacs looking for excuses to cut back trees? I'm not an expert but if they're not coming back to cut down the rest, then it seems like pollarding. It always looks ugly at first. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pollarding
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You've taken these cheese puns whey too far.
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Former Lloyds near Dulwich library
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Nigello's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
Mandolin repair shop in the basement; gin bar in the ground floor and courtyard; gong therapy rooms on the top floor. -
The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
1) Start with the exact claim about the LTN. Who said this and when exactly? 2) Test the claim against statistically significant data. Isolate factors other than the LTN. 3) Present your findings. PS "apart from the fact there have been fewer vehicle collisions, how has the LTN made things safer?" 🤔 -
The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
In the 5 years since the LTNs went in, Nigel Farage was elected as an MP, my husband left me for a bicycle-riding geologist, Crystal Palace won the FA Cup, and you have posted thousands of times online complaining about LTNs. You cannot deny that. Clearly LTNs cause populist politicians to win public office, duplicitous lying bastard earth scientists to run off with your spouse, South London football teams to improve, and online derangement. -
These cheese puns make me sick. I suppose you could call me lactose intolerant.
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The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
1) "Police recorded crime does not tend to be a good indicator of general trends in crime". https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/bulletins/crimeinenglandandwales/yearendingmarch2025 2) There has been a significant increase in some types of crime in London over the last year - particularly theft, which went up 28%. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/london-latest-crime-statistics-knife-murder-shoplifting-sadiq-khan-ons-b1239843.html 3) All of this is a world away from Rockets's "absolute" belief that LTNs cause crime. It's nonsense. It's an invention. It's toss. There's no proof of that at all - even he admits it. -
The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Dogkennelhillbilly replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
🤔 -
Call me a philistine but I like the small Laughing Cow triangles. Babybels too. They're a great snack for adults and kids. Yes, I'll never be shy about praising the Little Baby Cheeses.
East Dulwich Forum
Established in 2006, we are an online community discussion forum for people who live, work in and visit SE22.