"'The UK's property market has a better chance of bouncing back before other countries because "we failed" to build enough houses, Gordon Brown has said" What a load of cr#p! There are 840,000 empty homes in the UK today, 4% of our total stock. If there was a shortage of homes, why is Paddington Basin pitch dark at night and why are the centres of Leeds, Birmingham and Manchester packed with blocks of empty unsaleable and unlettable flats? The housing bubble has many causes, cheap credit, poor lending decisions, government forcing interest rates too low etc. If you want to see where your house price is going, calculate the ED Median Multiple. Take the median household income in your area (of similar homes) and divide by median house price. The result should be about 3. If you think you are "typical" in East Dulwich, multiply your annual salary before tax by 3 and that's the rough price range your home will be worth after the correction works itself out over the next 2 or 3 years. In many areas of London, the MM is more than 5, meaning house prices in those areas will fall by 60% from their 2007 peak before the bubble is deflated. Average house price yield since 1975 has been 2.4% a year, not the crazy 10-20% we have had in the years running up to the bust.