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Everything posted by Earl Aelfheah
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I've linked to detailed data (the tfl dashboard) which you can interrogate yourself. I've pointed out some specific stats related to the junction around Calton (which show that collisions and causalities have fallen). I did this because you claimed the data didn't exist (whereas I emailed tfl and asked whether it did and they linked me to it). I've also taken a quick look at the general stats pre and post LTN introduction in response to your claim that if collisions have fallen around the LTN, then they must have increased elsewhere. If you want to do some more detailed analysis to back up your unevidenced claims, please do. I'm simply pointing out that: there is data if you are actually interested in it (obviously if you're more interested in proving a prejudice, then it's irrelevant). the data suggests that the changes around calton have not increased collisions, but reduced them there is no data I have seen that suggests that the introductions of LTNs have increased road danger more generally / away from the LTN (in fact if anything it suggests the opposite). If you want to make claims to the contrary, then the burden of proof is with you. It not really for others to ask for info, to review the data, or to disprove unevidenced claims on your behalf. Again, when you claim something to be true, you are meant to provide evidence for that claim. How it doesn't work: You make an unsubstantiated claim and then ask others to disprove it. E.g. dragons are real, and if you you can't prove they're not, I must be right! That is just an illogical, bad faith, rhetorical tactic that allows any of us to make any nonsense claim we like.
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100%. Just because he calls himself 'one dulwich' doesn't give him the right to talk on behalf of the wider community. I have no doubt that vast majority would oppose the square being returned to a narrow pavement and a queue of motor vehicles, just so a handful of people can shave a couple of minutes off a short local car journey.
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Here is how things work. When you claim something to be true, you provide evidence for that claim. Here's how it doesn't work. You make an unsubstantiated claim and then ask others to disprove it. E.g. dragons are real, and if you don't believe it, you must prove me wrong. That is just a bad faith, rhetorical tactic that any of us can use to make any claim we like, true or otherwise. BTW, I have twice linked to the TfL data. Look back up the thread. For Southwark: Between March 2017 – March 2020 there were 3,338 collisions Between March 2020 – March 2023 there were 2,894 collisions This suggests that road safety has improved since the LTNs were introduced (which would conform with all the research into the impact of LTNs in general). Obviously if you want to make claims about specific roads, then you need to do the work - specify what's changed and where and provide some evidence. Or you can continue claiming there is no data (without requesting it), or asking others to disprove your unsubstantiated / vague claims.
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I see. Being able to see what's coming when you turn in / out of a junction is dangerous... oooookay then 🤣 They restricted parking on the grassy Knowle to make the Kennedy assassination possible. 🤷♂️ Any evidence at all for the tin foil hat conspiracy stuff?
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But the number of collisions involving pedestrians hasn't increased. It has done the opposite. And once more, your inability to comprehend that it is not just speed that effect impact forces and associated risk, but the interaction of speed and weight is slightly ridiculous. I absolutely was not. You said It is monitored and it is not more dangerous
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No. I'm really not. I've pointed you to the data that you claimed wasn't collected. It is, and all it took to check was an email to TfL. I've linked you to it. To remind you, you claimed: Well it turns out that it is monitored and that the junction is not more dangerous now than when it was opened to cars. There is no evidence that collisions have increased on 'displacement routes', and of course you provide none. One cannot prove a negative. It is for you to provide evidence of your claim (more of an insinuation).
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The newly landscaped Dulwich Square
Earl Aelfheah replied to Earl Aelfheah's topic in Roads & Transport
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I do think it's a no brainer, yes. But some (yourself included) have tried to suggest that the junction is now more dangerous. It isn't. If you think there has been an increase, why don't you say so. I've linked you to the data already. I get a bit bored with the constant insinuations / innuendo around this topic. Do the work, demonstrate your point. I've seen no evidence at all that the roads are now more dangerous, in fact the exact opposite. It does contain that info yes. And I've linked you to the data and even summarised it for you in this thread (last year in London there were 303 pedestrians injured by pedal bikes, 4,170 injured by motor vehicles.). Again, instead of the 'I'm just asking questions' tactic, why don't you actually say what you mean and provide some evidence to back up your argument?
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Rockets (and others I believe) suggested that removing motor vehicles increased the danger, because congestion brings 'order and increases safety' But yes, I agree that removing motor vehicles reduces collisions, and the data confirms this.
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Linked to it further up the thread. It's taken from the tfl data Microsoft Power BI I emailed them to ask if they had records of collisions with pedestrians involving bicycles and they linked me to their dashboard, which has loads of really detailed / interesting data on it. Re. Calton avenue, I looked at the three years leading up to the introduction of the filters in March 2020 and the three years afterwards. I think the crashmap data is specifically related to insurance claims, whereas tfl is reported accidents involving casualties (at least I believe that's the case).
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Claims that the junction is somehow more dangerous now, are not reflected in the number of recorded collisions / casualties (as anyone sensible might reasonably expect).
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I took a look at the road causality and collision data around the Calton Road / village road junction. In the 3 years leading up to the introduction of the filter / LTN, there were 6 collisions. In the 3 years following it's introduction, there was 1.
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The data on cycle induced injuries is here: Microsoft Power BI (turns out it is being collated, and you just need to email TfL, who will link you straight to it). Last year in London there were 303 pedestrians injured by pedal bikes, 4,170 injured by motor vehicles. Obviously that is only pedestrian casualties. Motor vehicles were also involved in thousands of other collisions with cyclists, motorcyclists, other cars etc. Across London in the last year, there were 26,603 casualties - nearly all the result of collisions that involved a motor vehicle.
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For those interested in the data, this dashboard is worth spending some time looking at Microsoft Power BI
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Annual concentrations of roadside nitrogen dioxide (NO2) almost halved in London between 2016 and 2023. And preliminary figures indicate London’s annual NO2 levels were lowest on record in 2023 – lower even than first year of COVID-19 lockdowns. So it's fairly clear that the mayors policies are having a significant impact on air quality.
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I popped in there the other day. It was fairly chaotic and the staff were rude. Never used to be like that. I appreciate it's a difficult job, but still..
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Is this the 'West Dulwich action group' action, you're referring to? Or is there some sort of challenge to LTNs in South London generally? Assuming it's the former, as the WD LTN is only a trial, I can't really see that their action has any prospect of success, but I maybe I'm missing something. Best thing that could be done to speed up buses down lordship lane would be 24 hour bus lanes (most of the time there are cars parked in them at the moment). Also removing some of the free parking so that buses can pass each other without having to constantly pull over would help. So they do reduce pollution, just on side roads? The combination of policies introduced by TFL over the last few years (including ULEZ), do appear to be improving air quality in London As already pointed out, lot's of new and successful businesses have actually opened on that section of MG.
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Thames water and the whole system of privatised water is a disaster.
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Thames water seem to be slow at responding to a number of these types of leaks locally.
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Low water pressure- Heber Road
Earl Aelfheah replied to Southeast Twenty Stu's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
Yep, the bit of road around the junction of Lordship Lane and Heber fails and is redone every few months. They've just finished the latest repairs a week or two ago and you can already see the cracks appearing. It'll be getting dug up again in a month or two. -
The lack of self awareness in this sentence 🙄
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I saw this on Sunday. Unfortunately this type of thing is fairly common place (although the car being balanced on top of a wall is pretty stark). Really hope no one was seriously hurt.
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